Pre-Open Commentary | Mar 17, 25 (June contract roll)

Condensed Insight Before the Bell.

Key Orderflow and Options Levels (ES Futures - June contract):

As you can see, chart on the left with orderflow levels has only Pivot line today. The reason for that is I tend to not rely on orderflow structure during rollover period (usually 2-3 days around it). So full orderflow structure will be back tomorrow or day after tomorrow.

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TrendPhase (SPX):

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Midterm Cumulative:

This section is undergoing some redo and simplification.

//Midterm Metrics//
Macro/Positioning: 0
OptionsTrendPhase: 1
Auction/Orderflow: -1
Alerts: 1

Current Macro/Positioning strategy (zoomed for last few months) - I will update this chart once a week or when new signal arrives

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Key takeways:

Entering opex week and futures rollover. I try to keep small size in that period intraday and as I stated above, I don’t rely so much on orderflow for few days.

I have noticed a lot of big financial accounts/names calling for market bottom which although I agree, dont make me more confident. Again, because I rushed too quickly into that long im still not adding.

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Notes:

Recap of yesterday’s HPI and other options metrics + Orderflow Structure.

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Yesterday’s orderflow structure.

Another clear and relatively easy session from orderflow structure perspective. Unfortunetly I made a mistake in calculating resistanc level, I marked that on chart.

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