Pre-Open Commentary | Jan 27, 25

Condensed Insight Before the Bell.

//Midterm Sentiment//

(days)
TrendPhase: Bullish (Jan 23)
Orderflow: Neutral/Bullish (Jan 14)
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(weeks)
Positioning: Neutral/Bearish (Jan 21)
Dealers: Neutral (Oct 30)
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(months)
Seasonality: Bearish (Jan 2)

//Longterm//
(Years)
Great Cycle: Bullish (since March 2020) until 2027/2028

Intraday TrendPhase: Neutral
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//Actionable Levels//
Resistance: 
Pivot: 6141.5 
Support: 

Key takeways:

Single spark and panic.
So, here we are at monday after clear warning last week and specifically on friday where I wrote about flow study signaling pullback on monday. Also, market closed below today’s orderflow pivot which was a hint that bulls might be in trouble.

So what is this? Short lived panic and a buying opportunity or something more serious?

As to buying opportunity, true ones start much lower at our anchored vwap levels (for now 5700 area at minimum) so rather far away right now.

In my view if you weren’t agressive and have not initiated short on friday close or maybe tonight right after open as one of the bots did, its too late right now - fomo is bad in this market.

I am working on this chart to put all midterm/swing metrics in one place, will start updating it here soon with explanation what each of the symbol means (basically these are all current midterm metrics on one chart). I think it will be easier to follow. Especially in the situations like last major bottom, when there were multiple bullish signs gathered at same time - which wasnt so clear if you just read about it in multiple substack posts as these apeared during couple sessions time span. Visually its much more striking I think.

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Yesterday’s Intraday Trading Recap:

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Notes/Observations/Issues:

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Pre-Open Commentary distills key takeaways from the analysis of the London GEX and Structure posts and also serves as my personal journal (sort of).